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  • What is the reference Article/s from the previous season for sales history
    • Is the new Article simply a replacement?  
      • If so then scale the previous season sales by a growth factor
    • Is an Article Categories or Styles range being expanded or contracted with the new Articles?
      • If the range is being expanded ( use opposite for contracted)
        • How much growth is expected across the Article Category or Style
        • How do you expect the growth to be spread across all the Articles within the Category or Style
      • For example this season you will have 2x as many options within a product category compared with last season.  This does not indicate 2x the sales is expected - normally you will expect some growth across the range - then add some additional growth by having more options.

See Seasonal Brand Forecasting of Quantities Forecasting Flow

Top Down Seasonal Revenue Forecasting Process

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  1. Forecast will be by Brands and Article Categories
  2. Rep can adjust values for each customer while viewing overall values and comparisons to previous year
  3. Rep confirms values
  4. Rep reviews gap and estimates new customers impact
  5. Result provides a comparison forecast.

See Bottom up Sales Forecast Process

Resulting Seasonal Forecast

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